Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Monday, December 10, 2012
Friday, December 7, 2012
Wednesday, November 7, 2012
Well, that didn’t go well.
I’ll admit it, I didn’t see it coming down to this. I saw this as an incredibly tight race that we’d still be waiting on results for. I did figure it would be Ohio that we were waiting for, but to see those results so soon was a death knell for the Romney campaign.
I put no stock in exit polls, and quite frankly I’m too numb to even break them down. What’s most telling about this election, however, it how wrong all the polls were. Real Clear Politics (RCP) showed the president leading Romney 48.8 to 48.1 going into the election. So many people said that those polls were skewed too heavily in favor of the president, because they over-sampled Democrats, when historically, there would be heavy Republican turnout. But it appears that that RCP average was right-on when it came to support for Romney, but underestimated support for the president by 1.6 points. That’s big in a national election. State by state, it’s a different story. States are hard to gauge. Just look at the last election. Some states were off by nearly eight points, so crunching that data was kind of a nightmare. But to see it break the way it did was jaw-dropping. It seemed like a foregone conclusion that Romney would carry Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia, Obama was likely to carry Michigan and Nevada. Questions still lingered about New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Colorado; and Ohio was anybody’s guess. Plus, seeing Romney make a Hail Mary campaign swing through Pennsylvania had many pundits guessing too. But there was just a sense of pessimism that permeated the mood when Pennsylvania went blue. When Wisconsin followed suit, it got really glum. But what was most surprising was seeing the break for the president in Virginia and Florida. Sure, the microscope was on Ohio, but to see both of those states with Obama in the lead had many (even me) puzzled. Then things just went from bad to worse. New Hampshire went blue, as did Colorado and Iowa. And then the networks called it (and probably had to take horse tranquilizers to contain their glee).
I never had Romney winning this thing. It would have been nice, but I just didn’t see that happening. In fact, I didn’t see a Republican beating him, period. However, what I truly didn’t see is the ease at which he did it. I saw this thing coming down to Ohio or Wisconsin. I even thought it was possible for Romney to pull a Gore and win the popular vote. In the end, however, I was wrong – mostly. Did I or did I not call New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Nevada for Obama? Yes, I got Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, and Florida wrong, but what polls indicated smooth sailing for them going into Tuesday? What really irritates me is what I attribute to false optimism on the part of so many Republican operatives. Karl Rove, George Will, and the Colorado University political science professor that has predicted every election in the last twenty years, Ken Bickers, were all wrong – and in a big way. I loathe the idea that one of these thinkers was outdone by the likes of Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, but it’s true. Nearly every poll showed Romney taking Florida, she said Florida would go to Obama. It did – by 0.6 points. Vexing, to say the least. It’s not that I think Democrats were understating their optimism. I really don’t think they had a clue it would break this way, I think they were just hedging their bets. After all, Romney had only prepared a victory speech. Obama had prepared two speeches.
I don’t want to drone on and on about what did what to who and when, so I’ll treat this like a frequently asked questions (FAQ) list. Then I’ll have a follow-up analysis. (Full disclosure: I wrote this throughout the day, and it became lengthy, so just bear with me.):
Why did President Obama win reelection?
- $1 billion.
- As Rush Limbaugh brilliantly put it, people would rather vote for Santa Claus than vote to be their own Santa Claus. That’s really what it boils down to. When people weren’t voting along party/partisan/racial lines, they pulled the lever for the guy they thought would give them the most free [stuff].
- He focused small, went negative, and compromised his alleged principles to utilize political action committees. Bain, binders, and bailouts.
- Power of the incumbency – though, his is probably the weakest case for that argument in history. He did have a bully pulpit, however.
- A media embargo on the Benghazi story. If this had happened under a Republican administration, this would still be running circles on all the media outlets. But since this was an epic foreign policy failure and a huge cover-up that made the administration look bad at a vulnerable point, the proverbial wagons were circled, and the story buried.
- The death of Osama bin Laden. Even though it can’t be attributed directly to him, he received most of the credit for getting the infamous terror leader. That one killing closed a chapter in American history, and Obama seemingly just happened to be in the room to photo-bomb the occasion.
- Bill Clinton. Somehow Obama gleaned some mojo from the former president.
- I’ll just say it: he’s black. Black Americans traditionally vote Democrat, but the last two election cycles, they’ve had someone who just happens to share their shade of melanin to vote for – and apparently that boosts turnout.
- He didn’t expose his leftist agenda for the next four years.
Why did Mitt Romney lose?
- $1 billion.
- A hostile media. Sure, you could argue that they were more fair to him and Paul Ryan than they were to John McCain and Sarah Palin, but the fact of the matter is, when they were dissecting Mitt Romney’s tax returns and his resume with Bain Capital, they should have been covering Benghazi, Fast and Furious, and Solyndra. Palin, among others, have called out the media in protecting Obama and attacking Romney early on, likening Romney’s uphill battle to trying to un-ring a bell.
- Trying to be too many things to too many people. He may have had a sterling resume and be empathetic to boot, but apparently the electorate likes to focus on small things. He’s rich. He took big risks in business that didn’t always pay off. He put the family dog on the roof of their car in the ‘80s.
- He’s a Mormon. I guarantee you more people voted for Obama because Romney is a Mormon, than voted for Romney because Obama is black.
Did the Republicans nominate the wrong guy?
- Charles Krauthammer pointed out that we had a weak field from the get-go. Of them, however, Mitt Romney appeared the most presidential.
- This is how I would have called the other potential nominees against Obama:
- Rick Santorum v. Obama: 42/57
- Newt Gingrich v. Obama: 41/58
- Ron Paul v. Obama: 38/61
- Sarah Palin v. Obama: 41/58
- Donald Trump v. Obama: 31/68
- Rick Perry v. Obama: 42/57
- Tim Pawlenty v. Obama: 44/55
- Michele Bachmann v. Obama: 41/58
- John Huntsman v. Obama: 40/59
- Herman Cain v. Obama: 41/58
- If we had nominated someone other than Paul Ryan for vice president, this is the way I see it having gone:
- Romney/Rubio v. Obama/Biden: 49/50
- Romney/Rice v. Obama/Biden: 44/55
- Romney/Pawlenty v. Obama/Biden: 47/51
- Romney/Portman v. Obama/Biden: 49/50
- Romney/Jindal v. Obama/Biden: 47/52
- Romney/Ayotte v. Obama/Biden: 46/53
- Romney/McDonnell v. Obama/Biden: 48/51
- Romney is not a typical Republican, and nominating someone from the Northeast is always a bit shaky, but he moved right, and that was a smart move.
- Repeatedly, in the primaries, Romney was hammered on being the godfather, if you will, of ObamaCare. But repeatedly, he refuted that claim and pointed out that his was a state-level mandate, not a federal government takeover of the healthcare system. He wasn’t the perfect guy to run against Obama on that issue, but he was able to run effectively enough.
- All of that said, was there someone else who could have run a better campaign than Romney?
What is going to happen over the next four years?
- Continued unrest in the economy and a feeble at best stock market.
- A moral compass adrift.
- A deadlocked, partisan Congress with a president unwilling to compromise.
- An EPA run rampant with out-of-control regulations against coal and other fossil fuels.
- Soaring energy prices.
- Continued unrest in the Middle East, and a destabilized Iraq and Afghanistan.
- A complete transformation of our healthcare system – for the worse. And higher premiums.
- Executive orders to boot. Congress is still deadlocked. Expect liberal policies to flow freely in this form.
- Who knows, really? If Putin, Chavez, and Castro wanted Obama to win reelection, that doesn’t bode well for the rest of the world.
Where do Republicans go from here?
- Don’t give up.
- Don’t let the Democrats make the rules, and don’t let them define us on their terms. This notion that we’re not an inclusive party is [malarkey]. Ours is the party of Condoleezza Rice, Nicki Haley, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Marco Rubio, Mia Love, Allen West, J.C. Watts, Michele Bachmann, Sarah Palin, Kelly Ayote, Tim Scott, and Ted Cruz. If you don’t know who all those people are, it’s because the media doesn’t want you to realize that the Republican Party welcomes people from all walks of life. Oh, and this notion that if you’re gay, you can’t vote Republican; also [malarkey]. Ever hear of the Log Cabin Republicans? Just because you’re gay doesn’t mean that you’re also attracted to big government, over-regulation, higher taxes, and a weak military. Sure, the Republican Party is traditional, and their stance on marriage reflects that. But they also back the notion of letting states decide. I personally see homosexuality as a sin, but that doesn’t mean I’ll keep them from joining my party. (I’ll admit it, this bullet point was more of a rant/bunny trail.)
- Take back the Senate in two years. I said it this year, and I’ll keep the mantra going forward in 2014. The Senate is about as corrupt as political organizations come. It is stacked with crusty politicians who have reached the pinnacle of their careers and all they desire now is to hold onto what power they have for as long as possible. (And yes, this includes both sides of the aisle.) Ditching Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader is paramount and should be the number one agenda of the RNC going into the 2014 midterms.
- Don’t compromise your principles. Compromise can be a respectable thing, but not at the expense of your principles. You saw this on the Democrat side during the ObamaCare debate. Allegedly pro-life Democrats compromised on abortion to get the bill passed. As a result, the party is all but devoid of principled elected officials now. It gets old seeing the Republicans block measures along party lines or pass bills in the House only to see them ignored or defeated in the Senate, but if the Party is passionate about something (like ending ObamaCare), they should vote their principles.
- Don’t forget your constituents. You came into the political sphere with their votes. You can exit just as easily.
- Don’t forget the Tea Party. Sure, it seems like they didn’t quite show up in 2012 like they did in 2010, but they’re still a force to be reckoned with. Ignoring them will do you no good.
- Reach out to the Ron Paul crowd. It’s true – the man is a kook. However, what his rabid followers stand for has more in common with the Republican Party than that of the Democrat Party. Yeah, they may spit in your face – have you ever had a conversation with a Paulite? – but the gesture will not go unnoticed.
It’s true. The results put me in a funk. But I was headed that way before November 6th. When President Obama was elected in 2008, I began to see a shift in the country. Yes, America wanted a change, and that’s just what they got. But the shift hasn’t been for the better. Instead, it’s been away from personal responsibility and the ideals that shape the American dream. It’s been in the other direction actually – where a culture of dependency has emerged, and people long for the easy way out. This is why you saw the emergence of the Occupy movement – not that they’re a force to be reckoned with like the Tea Party, but it’s just indicative of where we are as a society. We’re on a short road to becoming more like Greece after this election.
Mitt Romney put up a valiant effort, and while there may have been missteps along the way, his campaign was about as flawless as it could have been. If half the focus had been put into vetting President Obama as was put into vetting Romney, we may not be where we are today. However, dwelling on the treasonous acts of the media, the disastrous track record the president has on the economy, and the scary thoughts of the future; the fact still remains that he won – just like I said he would. It would be easy for me to go home and commit some serious carbicide (cheese fries would be my weapon of choice), but I will not do so. That would give fuel to the fire.
Disappointed, I am. Surprised, I am not. This is not over, though. The battle may be won by the other side, but the war is not lost. I will not surrender the American dream to the leftist ideologues who see America and capitalism as the problem. It may be an uphill battle for years to come, but it is one that I look forward to fighting. Eradicating liberalism is one of my life goals, and I intend on accomplishing that sooner rather than later.
I just spent several paragraphs dispelling the notion that a different outcome was possible and what to look forward to in the days, weeks, months, and years to come. It may get ugly, but I have a hope that transcends the petty nature of politics: my faith in Jesus Christ. God alone knows what will transpire, and He has a plan for why the election went the way it did. I may not see it now – like much of His will – but I am steadfast in the knowledge that it is all for His glory. It was very encouraging to see this sentiment reflected on Facebook and other social media today, after the anger/depression/anxiety/sugar highs wore off. If you’re still mad about the election, don’t be. Look to the One that controls eternity, not just the next four years.
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
Well, the day is here. The day I’ve waited for for four (yes, I realize that sounds funny). Unfortunately, it’s with a heavy heart that I post the following prediction.
I don’t want this to be the reality, but I fear it will be. I pray that I’m wrong. I don’t think I’ve ever wished more that I will be wrong, but my gut says this scenario will likely play out. (Again, thanks to Real Clear Politics for the create-your own map.)
Firstly, though I predict Obama will squeak by a win with the electoral college; it’s almost a certainty that he doesn’t achieve 50% of the vote. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t even win the popular vote. If I had to make a prediction, I’d say that Romney ends up with 48.6%, and President Obama gets 48.5%. It’ll be that close. (Though, the fact that I’m breaking this down into decimals shows just how unaware the voting populous is. This should be a Romney landslide – not because he’s Romney, but because he’s not Obama.)
Second, the reason I predict the map above is due to many reasons. I took a look at the state by state polls last go-around, and they weren’t very encouraging. Yes, the enthusiasm is in favor of the Republicans this go-around, but I just see major problems arising for the Romney-Ryan campaign in Ohio and Wisconsin – and they have to pull one of those states to win. Organized labor (read: unions) are a well-organized, unofficial arm of the Democrat party, and if they can’t outright win the election for their candidate, I see them stealing it for him. Sure, Wisconsin showed promise with the recall election of Governor Scott Walker, but I don’t see that as enough force behind Romney; despite Wisconsin being Paul Ryan’s home state. I’ll call both states for Obama, at 49/48.
I really thought Romney had a chance at this. That first debate was a knock-out, and he made it through the other two just fine. Momentum was in his favor. However, with that blasted storm, Sandy, and the treasonous cover-up by the media over the Benghazi atrocity, Obama stopped the bleeding. Sure, he looked “presidential” during the storm, but he’s made a mockery of the office in his first term, and an 11th hour blitz to repair that image somehow worked.
Regardless, if President Obama is reelected, as I predict, he’ll lack the mandate to lead effectively – not that what he’s been doing the last four years can be classified as “leading”. If Hillary steps down as Secretary of State, Senator John “F-ing” Kerry is likely to be nominated. Just sit back and imagine that for a moment. If you thought Obama’s first term was an assault on the Constitution, our liberties, your wallet, and the American way of life; just wait until the next four years. With the Senate likely to remain under Democrat control and the House under Republicans’, the gridlock will be perpetuated. Obama will go on an executive order spree to get his far left agenda passed, since he knows he’ll have no chance of getting it through Congress. The debt will explode – as if $16 trillion weren’t enough. Oil prices will skyrocket. Tomorrow morning, if the newspaper headlines read “Obama wins reelection”, the stock market will tank. If you’re unemployed, finding a job will get harder. Oh, and your taxes will go up. I’m not typically a doomsdayer – I leave that to Glen Beck – but I truly believe that reelecting President Obama will be detrimental to this nation. Can we survive four more years of him? Yes, but it won’t be pretty, and it will be an even bigger hole that we need to crawl out of. Oh, and just imagine if some idiot decided to [for fear of Janet Napolitano, I’ll refrain from using a particular word, and just say “elevate Joe Biden to the presidency]. Can you imagine that? I’m no fan of Obama, but I’d rather have him than Joe Biden.
I’m done rambling. This is the way I see it happening. Tell me I’m wrong. Tell me it will break big for Romney. Tell me I can go to bed tonight with closure and a smile on my face.
I pray that I’m wrong, but I don’t think I am.
Friday, October 26, 2012
Wednesday, October 24, 2012
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
The debates are over, and we're two weeks away from the finish line. I've decided to post my predictions. (Thanks to Real Clear Politics for the handy create your own map tool!)
There's still a chance that Romney could pull this one off. Wisconsin is crucial. If people will wake up and smell the fermenting economy, Romney could win this. He can win without Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada. I don't see Nevada swinging into Romney's territory. If the people were stupid enough to elect Harry Reid again, I doubt they'll smarten up and elect Romney. Wisconsin, however, has showed clear promise. The recall election of Governor Scott Walker proved that the union powers can be fought. So if Wisconsin goes to Romney, I see Ohio going to him as well. Iowa is kind of a 50/50 shot. I also find it intriguing that the polls are heavily skewed towards Democrats. So, I wouldn't be terribly surprised if Obama doesn't pull the numbers the polls suggest he will. I'm hopeful that this is the scenario that plays out on election night, but if it does, just prepare yourself to party like it's 2000. You know Ohio and Wisconsin will be teeming with DNC lawyers if Romney pulls off a victory in both states.
Monday, October 22, 2012
I don’t really have a lot in terms of pre-debate. Let’s just get this over with.
This is a foreign policy debate, which normally would be a higher stakes debate, but with the economy in shambles, this is playing second fiddle. However, I think Romney has a chance to seal the deal here…
Bob Schieffer is moderating, and this is an all parties seated debate. I don’t like this format either.
And here they are. Why do they have to wear red/blue ties? Is it because people are that stupid?
Segment 1, Question 1: Libya. Intelligence failure, policy failure? Unraveling in the Middle East?
R: Okay, he’s not coming out the gate well. He’s stuttering a little. However, he’s hitting the high points. He totally just stole Obama’s thunder on Osama bin Laden (OBL), by congratulating him, but he said we can’t “kill our way out of this.”
O: And now, the Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (DWS) talking points: ending the war in Iraq, setting an exit in Afghanistan. And now he’s jumping on Libya. He’s basically saying that he freed Libya. What he doesn’t realize is that if they were free, they wouldn’t have attacked our embassy. Now he’s saying Romney is untrustworthy on foreign policy – and he can’t keep direct eye contact for more than a second or two.
R: Coordinating foreign aid, education, gender equality…”a region in tumult.”
O: Now he’s blaming Romney for saying Russia is our biggest geopolitical threat. Lots of putting words in his mouth, saying his opinions are wrong, despite not being able to enact foreign policy. Why don’t you tout your credentials? Fail. Oh, Romney sends mixed messages to our allies? You’ve got to be kidding me.
R: Whoa. He’s keeping eye contact. “Attacking me is not an agenda.” Preach. YES YES YES. This is great. Oh, yes! The flexibility with Putin comment. Grr. Don’t ask him questions. It gives him a chance to talk.
Back and forth…Romney is owning this one, Obama is trying to cut him off. And now Schieffer is cutting in to help Obama.
O: Saying he’s Israel’s friend. He sounds testy. Oh, so you’ve figured out the plan strategy.
Segment 1, Question 2: Syria. 30,000 dead. Should we reassess our policy…influence there?
O: Sanctions. Humanitarian assistance. Touting assistance from Israel and Turkey, but saying it’s the Syrians problem. Now he’s saying we’re not involved because we don’t know who we’re helping. Kind of like Egypt?
R: Tying Syria to Iran. Nice. No military involvement. He’s talking about not letting arms get into the wrong hand. How I would love if he just made a Fast & Furious quip there. Critical opportunity. Now he’s tying the president to the UN, and showing that it’s been a massive fail.
O: Oh, so we’re on a Syria question, but you want to talk about Libya. Oh, that’s why. Because he wants to blame Romney. “Ghadaffi had more American blood on his hands than anyone except for Osama bin Laden.” WHAT?!
R: Back to Syria. You know, on topic. Not, “Look! Something shiny!”
O: “[H]e doesn’t have different ideas.” Yet, you still want to knock him on them. So, basically, you’re knocking your own policy?
BS: Regrets about how things transpired in Egypt?
O: Touting democratically elected government. Oh, you mean the one run by the Muslim Brotherhood? Oh…the “red line for us” quip. That was sly. Try to tie yourself to Benjamin Netanyahu. Fail. How about you worry about the people at home and our economy before you worry about Egypt’s?! I’m so bored with this man. “We’ve neglected building our economy…education…” Or you’ve wrecked them? Ever think of that?
R: Basically has the same opinion as Obama. Who wants to bet that Obama says something to the effect of “Nuh-uh”? Now he’s propping up a future without war, but saying that we’ve got to be strong – at home. Bring it back to the economy, as a foreign policy issue. Now prop up the military, and talk about how spending cuts hurt our strength. Allies.
Segment 2, Question 1: What is America’s role in the world?
R: Defend freedom, human rights, free enterprise…elections… “In order to fulfill our role in the world, America must be strong.” Oh, yeah. Now he’s talking about how awful the economy is, saying that it’s imperative for it to be strong for us to lead. Now he’s saying he won’t cut the military budget, and that backing Israel is paramount. Oh, nice. He’s hitting Obama for silence pertaining to the Iranian protestors.
O: Ending the war. Oh, “alliances that have been neglected for a decade”. Why don’t you just hold up a picture of Bush, point to it and say, “He did it!” Now he’s just hitting the DWS talking points to talk up the economy. Now he’s on to energy and deficit. And naturally, he’s on to making the wealthy pay more. I’m so bored with this man. Have I mentioned this? Oh, he just called out Bush and Cheney by name.
R: “I’ve got a policy for the future, and an agenda for the future…What we’ve seen over the last four years is not what I want to see over the next four.” Now he’s on to the 5-point plan. Kind of beating a dead horse, but at least he has a plan. Knock the teacher’s unions. Yes. Says we’re becoming Greece, if we don’t get the deficit under control. Like I was saying earlier, this is a foreign policy debate, but it’s the economy, stupid.
O: Blah, blah, blah. DWS talking points. Education. “hire more teachers” Yeah, so they can pay their union dues
to the DNC. Can’t.
Look. Him. In.
The. Eye. Seriously.
R: Touting education in Massachusetts. And Obama is cutting in.
BS: Defense spending.
R: Cut the discretionary budget 5%, excluding the military. Cut ObamaCare. Get rid of programs we don’t have to have. Keep Medicaid, but give it to the states. Balanced budget in 8-10 years.
O: $5 trillion in tax cuts. $2 trillion in military spending “that they’re not asking for.” “The math simply doesn’t work.” Says the guy who hired a treasury secretary who can’t even pay his taxes. “keep the American people safe”
R: Balancing budgets. “The president hasn’t balanced a budget yet. I look forward for a chance to do that.” Me too. Now he’s back to defense spending. “I will not cut our military budget.”
O: Wow. You condescending [feminine product].
Segment 3(?): Red lines with Israel and Iran. An attack on Israel is an attack on the US?
O: “Israel is a true friend...greatest ally in the region.” “As long as I’m president of the United States, Iran won’t have a nuclear weapon.” He’s saying their economy is in shambles. And now he’s saying that the world will unite against Iran. Um…pretty sure Russia will stand with them. You know, the guys you said you’d be more flexible with after the election?
R: Sanctions do work. Tighten them. Diplomatic isolation. Indict Ackmadenijahad (or however the deuce you spell that rat’s name – and, no, I’m not taking the time to Google it).
O: Oh, he made it to four seconds, looking him in the eye. So proud. Now he’s saying that Russia and China need to participate. Why don’t you go tell their diplomats at the UN. Oh, wait. You already did that. Another fail. He’s droning on and on.
R: Iran sees weakness in this administration. Totally calling him out on wanting to sit down with Chavez and his ilk, as well as his apology tour and inaction with Iranian protestors. Now on to the “daylight between the US and Israel” comment. “It’s essential for a president to show strength.” Preach.
O: Nuh-uh. Not true…blah, blah, blah. “When I came into office, the world was divided.” Oh, and you fixed that?
R: “We’re four years closer to a nuclear Iran.” Oh, that was good. Totally called him on the apology tour.
O: But, but, but. He’s testy. “Who’s going to be credible to all parties involved?” You have no credibility when Israel is involved.
BS: Israel is sending bombers to Iran. What do you say?
R: Let’s not assume that scenario would play out. We’d talk about it before it happens. Nice. “I see our influence receding.” Preach.
O: Calling him a flip-flopper. Again. Broken record. And no record to run on. OBL reference. I’m bored. 9/11 reference. Says that getting OBL gave closure, and that Romney wouldn’t have done it.
Segment (?): Afghanistan, what happens if the Afghans can’t handle it?
R: We’re on schedule to leave in 2014. Pakistan is important, due to their nukes. Conditional aid to Pakistan.
O: End the war in Iraq, surge to Afghanistan. Time to do nation building at home. With what money? You keep saying that the wars are on a credit card? So now you’re going to put our roads and bridges on? Your Bank of America credit card? Now he’s on to putting veterans back to work. How about all of the 23 million people looking for work?!
BS: Pretty sure he just said “Obama’s bin Laden”. Not sure if that was intentional, but I found it humorous. Anyhoo…is it time to “divorce” Pakistan?
R: No. Pakistan falling apart would be dangerous, because they have nukes. Getting OBL was the right thing to do, but we need to work with them now. We can’t walk away, but our support to them needs to have conditions.
BS: What’s your position on the use of drones?
R: He supports drone strikes. We need to move the world away from terrorism and Islamic extremism? “We’ve not seen the progress we need to have.”
O: Ugh. I hate how he says “Pah-key-stahn”. It annoys me. Though, his voice in general is annoying, but that word is a particular offender. He’s propping up the alleged alliances he’s helped forge with Tunisia, Yemen, etc.
Segment (?): The rise of China. What’s the greatest national security threat?
O: Greatest threat: terrorists. Make China play by the same rules. Trade task force. Is that like your jobs task force that hasn’t met in, like, six months?
R: “It’s not government that makes business successful.” Greatest threat: a nuclear Iran. China: be a partner, if they’re responsible. They see as a weak. “If I’m president, America will be very strong.” “On day one, I’ll label them a currency manipulator.”
BS: Trade war?
R: We don’t want a trade war. Trade imbalance. We buy more from them than they buy from us. Counterfeiting our goods, manipulating currency, stealing intellectual property – this can’t go on.
O: He shipped jobs overseas! I bet on American workers (at least the ones that belong to unions)! Sorry…I’m reading his mind, not quoting him. Invest in education and clean energy technology. How’s that worked out for you so far? I didn’t really follow any of what he just said.
R: Obama said he wanted to see us driving foreign cars, he’s refuting that statement. Obama is talking over him. So annoying, and disrespectful. I get that Obama is the president, but that doesn’t give him a right to be a jerk. Government investment in companies doesn’t work. Constant talk-over.
Back and forth.
O: Auto industry. Blah, blah, blah. Education. How did we get here? Back to the military spending. Is he malfunctioning? “After a decade…” Again, blaming Bush. “The same policies…” Doesn’t he realize that the Democrats ran the show when he came into office?
R: He wants to not go back to the policies of the last four years. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania shout-outs. They’re actually hold each others gaze. I’m impressed.
BS: Closing statements
O: Right into the camera. Trying to play the humor card, but now he’s right on to blaming Romney, class warfare, and the general DWS talking points. Broken record. Point that finger. Taking points from Biden. Back to the roads and bridges. Oh, and he’s wearing the breast cancer awareness bracelet. Realizes his poll numbers with women is hanging in the balance.
R: Right into the camera as well. We have a chance for real leadership. Re-elect him, we’ll be $20 trillion in the hole by 2016. Jobs. Working across the aisle. “This nation is the hope of the earth.” Good wrap-up.
Okay. That was a little more civil, but Romney won. Three in a row. It was sort of close in some points, because there weren’t huge differences on several issues. However, where there were disagreements on domestic policy, Romney was the clear winner. Actually, overall, it’s obvious that Romney is the real winner. Anyone with half a brain could see it – even someone who doesn’t really care, or isn’t biased, like me. Continually saying that Romney is a flip-flopper is not a good strategy. He has no record to run on.
I’m done commentating. This was a low-scoring “game”.
Obama 12, Romney 22
Let’s get this election over with. More on my thoughts as to how it will pan out coming soon…
Tuesday, October 16, 2012
For the past two days, we’ve been hearing about how we should expect a much different performance tonight from President Obama. Like, he’ll be more aggressive and that town halls are his element. All this means is that no matter what transpires – and I have every expectation that Obama will do much better tonight – the media will declare him the winner, much the same as they declared Joe Biden the winner of last week’s debate in spite of his overly-aggressive, somewhat mean-spirited performance. So, expect fawning reviews of the president in the morning and unstopping hype saying that this is the turning point. I expect Mitt Romney to do very well, as well. People say that he’s uncaring, cold, or un-personable. I disagree 100%, and I think people will realize that tonight. Though, I’m pretty sure the deck is stacked against him, as is usually the case with Republicans.
Would I be surprised if Obama crashed and burned tonight (again)? A little, given how he should expect Romney to bring it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the expectations for him are not met. He has no record to run on, and scare tactics only go so far. Romney has some serious momentum. I still think Obama’s got a good chance of winning again, but Romney has got a real shot here if he can keep it going. Let’s face it, the swing states (particularly Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) are the real prize here. Romney is within striking distance in all of them, but he’s got to win tonight and next week to completely shift the momentum in his favor. Though, you can’t discount the machine that is behind Obama. I’m trying to remain cautiously optimistic, but I’m also a realist.
Candy Crowley of CNN is tonight’s moderator, and she’s already gone on record basically saying she won’t be sticking to the rules. You know, like most Democrats. Oh, was I supposed to assume that she’s unbiased? Yeah right. She works for CNN. That’s just a half a step up from the pathetic Obama campaign surrogates at [P]MSNBC. So, you understand how low my expectations are for her.
Okay…now that we’ve got my pre-coverage commentary out of the way, it’s now 8:00, and time for the real deal. Let’s get this over with.
Hello, Shepard Smith. Once again. Have I mentioned that I don’t really care for this type of debate? It’s a domestic and foreign policy debate. And so it begins…
CC: “My goal is to…get questions answered…”
And here they are.
CC: First question from a college student, how will he support himself after graduation?
R: Pell grants, etc. “I want you to be able to get a job.”
O: “Your future is bright.” Really? “the 5 million jobs we’ve created in the last 23 months…” Um…okay? He’s pointing his finger, Biden-esque. Student loans. “the jobs of the future” Huh? And now he’s on to energy. Where did he get here from? Reduce our deficit, fair share. Come on! The Debbie Wasserman-Shultz talking points are already free-floaing.
CC: “What about the long-term unemployed?”
R: “The president’s policies have been exercised over the last four years, and they haven’t worked.” Nice. He called out the real unemployment number: 10.7% And now he’s calling out Obama on Detroit. The president is actually looking him in the eye tonight.
O: “What Governor Romney says just isn’t true.” Aggressive, he’s trying to be. Now he’s on to class warfare. “go back to the same policies to just got us here” Blame Bush.
Next question: Gas prices, and Secretary Chu’s statements on not lowering gas prices.
O: Touting his administration’s alleged energy record. Mileage standards, green energy. Blah, blah, blah.
R: “I want to make sure we use our oil, our coal, our nuclear…” North American energy independence is brilliant. Not going to lie. The Keystone pipeline. “How in the world the president said no to the pipeline, I’ll never know.” Love it!
CC: “…are we looking at the new normal?”
O: “Very much of what Gov. Romney just said is not true.” “…the last president is an oil man.” He’s trying to label Romney as anti-coal. Is there a plank in his eye? “What I try to do, is be consistent.”
Ooo…a back and forth. Obama is trying to spout facts, and I think he’s getting testy when Romney is throwing facts at him and he can’t rebut them with his own.
R: “The truth is what you’re paying at the pump.” “If the president’s energy policies are working, you’d see them working.” Again, the Keystone pipeline.
O: And he’s blaming gas prices on Bush. Typical. The DWS talking points. “I’m all for pipelines.” Wow. I can’t believe this. I mean, it’s typical for him to lie through his teeth, but he’s so obviously lying.
Okay, Candy. You’re obviously trying to save Obama’s [posterior]. It’s too obvious. Ugh.
Next question: Reducing tax rates. Eliminating deductions.
R: This is good stuff. Prices are up, incomes are down. “I am not going to have people on the high end paying less than they are now.” No taxes on interests, dividends, and capital gains. Preach. “The president’s spending, the president’s borrowing will [cause higher taxes]…I’ll get us on track to a balanced budget.”
O: “My philosophy on taxes has been simple.” Yep. Class warfare. “If we’re serious about reducing the deficit…the wealth [need to] do a little more.” And now we blame Congress and tout the Clinton years. Come on. You have nothing to run on. Now we’re on to fairness.
R: “For me, this is about jobs.” Simple. The Five Point Plan. What could be more simple? This is the distinction between the governor and the president. The governor has a plan, the president has a speech.
O: Estate tax. What’s wrong with eliminating that? What’s wrong with funding the military? This guy is a joker. Why would anyone vote for him? “The math doesn’t add up.” “Either…this blows up the deficit…or you’re going to be paying for it.” “Nobody that’s looked at it that’s serious [says it will work].”
R: “I was someone who ran businesses for 25 years and balanced budgets…the Olympics….as governor…” “We have his own record…he said he’d cut the deficit in half. He doubled it.” “I know what it takes to balance budgets. I’ve done it my entire life.”
O: “Looking forward to it.” Yeah, because you can’t win in this arena.
Question: Inequality in the workplace.
This is a plant question. This is about the only “success” of the Obama administration.
O: Typical response. Lilly Leadbetter Act. Talking points. Again, this is CC saving his [posterior].
R: He’s propping his successes nominating women to his cabinet. “I know what it takes to get an economy that works…an economy with 7.8% unemployment isn’t one that works.”
O: What a pompous [donkey]. And now we’re on to the faux war on women. “This is not just a health issue, it’s an economic issue.” Contraceptives are an economic issue? Now he’s defending Planned Parenthood, claiming they’re all about mammograms and cancer screenings, as opposed to the chief promoters of infanticide that the facts point to.
Next question: The Bush administration’s failures. Really? “What’s the biggest difference between you and George W. Bush…?” Are you [fracking] kidding me? Another plant question.
R: He totally just squashed Obama’s claims from the last question. The five point plan. Promoting small businesses and jobs.
O: This is just a chance for him to rail on Bush. What he’s been doing for the last four years! Come on. “Governor, you’re the last person who’s going to get tough on China.” Are you kidding me? This aggressive strategy is failing, but I bet Chris Matthews has got a thrill down his leg. Now we’re on to somewhat propping up Bush’s immigration policies.
Next question: What have you (Obama) done to make me vote for you, even though I’m not as optimistic as I was in 2008? This is a joke.
O: Shut up. All you’re spewing is the DWS talking points. “The commitments I’ve made, I’ve kept. And those I haven’t kept…” Such a contradiction. Blah, blah, blah. Go away.
R: “I think you know better. I think you know the last four years haven’t been [that good].” No commentary necessary. Pointing out the failed promises of this president. Oh, and the failed policies. Touting Reagan. Look, I love Reagan, but you can’t relive the past. “Median incomes down $4300…23 million people out of work. That’s what this question is about.”
Next question: Immigrants without green cards.
R: “We welcome legal immigrants into this country.” “We should make sure that our legal system work…We need to stop illegal immigration.” No amnesty. Nice. Pathway to permanent residency.
O: “We’re also a nation of laws…” Oh, is that why you issued an executive order to
gain votes, er, um, fix immigration? So bored with his answer. Heard it all before. He’s a robot.
Now he’s ripping on Arizona – you know, one of the few states that’s
actually trying to fix the broken immigration system. And now he’s blaming Congress. Again.
Broken record. Literally.
R: He just slapped back, before answering CC’s question on self deportation. Oh, and the president wants to cut in.
O: “I haven’t looked at my pension. It’s not as big as yours.” Come on. I’ll give him credit for getting back on topic, but he’s still ripping on Arizona. Lame. And there you go on ripping Congress. Yet again.
Next question: Libya. Who denied the security? Another plant question. He’ll defer blame to Hillary.
O: “Nobody’s more concerned about their safety than I am.” “Investigate exactly what happened.” Is that why you blamed it on a YouTube video for a week instead of telling the truth?! Come on! Now he’s saying that Romney was just trying to score political points. “You don’t turn national security into a political issue.” Hypocrite. And there it is: Osama bin Laden. Shut the [front door]. I’m surprised that he didn’t blame Hillary.
R: “It was a terrorist attack.” “Whether there was some misleading…” Now he’s calling Obama out for fundraising while the feces was hitting the fan. “This calls into question the president’s policy in the Middle East.” Obama looks like a cat perched on his stool.
CC: Hillary took blame.
O: “She works for me.” “I said this was an act of terror.” No you didn’t. You blamed a YouTube video. Oh, now he’s offended that the governor inferred that they played politics.
R: Totally calling the Obama out. Okay, not his best answer, but he’s right.
Next question: Gun control. Again with the [fracking] plant question.
O: Oh, and there’s Aurora. This is a joke. What does this have to do with banning assault weapons? “We’ve got more to do.” “Weapons that were designed for soldiers…don’t belong on our streets.”
R: “I’m not in favor of new pieces of legislation…taking guns away.” “…enforce the gun laws that we have and change the culture of violence.” He’s propping up a two-parent family to help curb the culture of violence. Yes! Bring up Fast and Furious. “It’s one of the great tragedies…under this administration…executive privilege…”
O: Ugh. Now he’s knocking the NRA. Bad move. “Governor Romney was for an assault weapon ban before he was against it.” Yawn. Heard it all before. Oh, so you want to make sure the time keepers are doing their job, unless you’re talking. He’s talking over CC. Ugh. What a douche.
Next question: Outsourcing. Yet another plant question.
R: China. “We have made it less attractive for enterprises to stay here.” “It’s not by trickle down government…[it’s] never worked here.” Chinese manipulation of currency. “What’s key to bringing back jobs here…make America the most attractive place for jobs…” “We have to be competitive, if we’re going to create more jobs here.” Regulations. Comparing Canadian business tax at 15% to ours at 35%. Knocking ObamaCare as a job-killer.
O: “We need to create jobs here.” Now he’s saying Romney wants to expand tax incentives for companies who ship jobs overseas. Again, scare people into voting for you.
CC: Bringing manufacturing home.
R: Play by the rules. Make America attractive.
O: “There are some jobs that aren’t going to come back. … I want high skill, high wage jobs.” How about jobs, period?! Come on.
R: “Government does not create jobs. Government does not create jobs.”
Next question: Biggest misconception about you as a man.
R: “I care about 100% of the American people.” Way to get ahead of the inevitable 47% comment. “We don’t have to settle for what we’re going through…gas at $4/gal…47 million people on food stamps…”
O: “I believe the free enterprise system is…the greatest the world has ever known.” Did it give you physical pain to say that? Fairness. Blah, blah, blah. And there’s the 47% comment. Predictable. “I want to fight for them.” I’m sure you do, because they’re about the only people who are willing to vote for you now.
Ended about the way I expected to. At worst this was a draw. Romney won though. I know I’m biased, but this debate was a joke. It was almost as if the questions were handpicked for Obama. Unsurprising. CC is like Rachel Maddow-lite. However, I don’t think this will shift momentum. The Democrat machine will do everything in its power to spin this as a decisive Obama victory. It was not. At least he showed up to this debate. He got a couple decent digs/answers in, but he’s a broken record. In fact, he’s not even that. He has no record to run on. Romney didn’t just go on the offense all night. He held his own against Obama’s best shots. For such a hostile environment, Romney did quite well. I could elaborate further, but I need to cool off.
Obama 17, Romney 30
Let’s get the next one out of the way, so I don’t have to watch another Obama robot show. I really hope said robot is shutting down in exactly three weeks…
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Yes, I’m that guy. I just left my Bible study early, so I could write. It’s okay. We got through Hosea 8 and 9. It’s kind of amazing how that book is kind of an allegory for the state of America today. But that’s another topic.
“X Factor” is now over. It’s really too bad someone like Simon Cowell couldn’t moderate this thing.
Hello, Shepard Smith. Again. From Centre College in Danville, Kentucky, this time. I really don’t like the format of this debate, as far as having both candidates seated. It’s a domestic and foreign policy debate, and I have every expectation that Biden will bring his A-game. However, his A-game is nothing compared to Paul Ryan.
Anyone else think the hubbub over Martha Raddatz was a little bit of a stretch. Is it that surprising that Obama attended her wedding a few years ago? She’s a “journalist”. They’re his bread and butter.
And here they are. Interesting. She has two mics.
MR: First question: Libya. Was it a massive intelligence failure?
B: Ooo. Point that finger, Joe. That means you’re serious. And he shifted right into ending the war in Iraq and Osama bin Laden (henceforth to be known as OBL). There he goes pointing that finger again. “[The president has] led with a steady hand and a clear vision.” Wow. Really?
R: “If we’re hit by terrorists, we’re going to call it like it is: a terrorist attack.” Ooo…nice. He totally called out Biden on failing in negotiations with the Iraqis – a task given to him by the president. Biden is actually looking at Ryan while he’s talking. Clearly that was a note taken after last week’s abysmal performance by the empty chair.
B: “That’s a bunch of malarkey.” Way to keep it PG, Joe. “repaired our alliances” Really? Ooo…a little stutter. “These guys bet against America all the time.” Ryan’s expression was perfect. He’s talking in circles. Blaming the intelligence community. Holding a press conference is “not presidential”. Really? Coming from the number two to the Teleprompter in Chief?
R: “We should never apologize about standing up for our values.”
MR: Iran. “How effective would a military strike be [on Iran]?”
R: He’s explaining that bi-partisan support in Congress is the only way sanctions against Iran were made possible, in spite of the administration.
B: Wow…he just tried to pull the “it’s classified” card. “There is no weapon that the Iranians have…what are you talking about?”
R: He basically said that we need to convince the Ayatollahs to change their mind and that our relationship is suffering.
B: He’s saying sanctions work, and our relationship with Israel is great. “Facts matter.” But they’re such inconvenient things for you and your party, Mr. Vice President.
R: He basically says that Iran is encouraged by this administrations inaction.
B: “[Romney] changes his mind so often, I could be wrong….This president doesn’t bluff.” Really?
MR: Economy. Can you get unemployment under 6%?
B: “Let’s look at the facts.” Again. Inconvenient things for you and your party. Ryan is chomping at the bit. He’s gabbing on about GM and foreclosures. Oh, and there’s the 47% reference. What does this have to do with unemployment?
R: He’s turning the facts around on Biden. No commentary necessary. “This is not what a recovery looks like.” Okay…someone just text me a few minute ago to tell me that Biden’s laugh and smile is creepy. I’m starting to agree. “I think the Vice President knows that the words don’t always come out of your mouth right [in reference to the 47% comment].”
B: Now he’s pulling the sympathy card to try to counter Ryan’s story about Romney. “[Romney] said let [the auto industry] go bankrupt.” IT DID GO BANKRUPT! “Just get out of the way. Stop talking about how you care about people.” Oh, and there’s the DWS talking points. “Two wars on a credit card.”
R: Oh, yes. “One party control” and look where we are. Specifics now, on growing the economy.
B: “I love my friend here.” I don’t think they’re friends. “Less than 0.4% waste [in the stimulus].”
R: “Where are the 4 million green jobs that were promised?”
R: “If you reform these programs for my generation…you can guarantee that they’ll be solvent for the generation close to retirement.” He’s getting ahead of Biden’s talking points about vouchers. “Choice and competition.” Preach.
B: “I heard that death panel argument from Sarah Palin.” Really? Oh, there’s the AMA and AARP shout out. Oh, yes, Joe. Talk directly to the camera, because that allegedly polled well. “Folks follow your instincts on this one.” Okay. I’m voting for the other guy. “Their ideas are bad.”
R: “Mr. Vice President, I know you’re under a lot of duress trying to make up for lost ground, [but stop interrupting me].” Classic. Biden is getting catty.
B: Ripping vouchers and privatization of social security.
R: He’s trying to talk and Biden keeps interrupting.
B: “The bottom line is…” Really? You don’t know what a bottom line is. “Folks, use your common sense.” Again, I will. Thereby, I’ll be voting for the other guy.
MR: “Who will pay more in taxes, and who will pay less?”
B: Bush tax cuts. Wealthy pay more. “They’re holding hostage the middle class tax cut.”
R: I love when this man talks numbers. “Watch out middle class, the tax bill is coming to you.”
B: “Let me translate.” “Not mathematically possible.” “Oh, now you’re Jack Kennedy.”
Arguing back and forth.
R: “[Reagan] didn’t demonize [Democrats], he didn’t demagogue them.” Perfect allegory.
B: “97% of small businesses…” Over and over.
MR: Defense spending.
R: “If these cuts go through, our Navy will be the smallest since World War I.”
B: Nuh-uh. He’s like a belligerent child.
MR: Afghanistan. “Why not leave now? … Is it worth more American lives?”
R: “What we don’t want to do is lose the goals we’ve gotten.”
B: “Martha, let’s keep our eye on the ball.” Oh, boy. There’s the OBL reference. “We are leaving. We are leaving in 2014. Period.”
MR: “What conditions could justify staying[?]”
R: Paraphrase: We want to come home in 2014, but only as long as we’re successful. “the unraveling of the Obama foreign policy” Preach. “We don’t want to broadcast to our enemies, put a date on your calendar.” Word.
MR: Is the Taliban taking advantage of the timeline?
B: “Step up.” I don’t disagree, but he doesn’t sound genuine. Again, with the finger pointing.
R: He’s throwing out a bunch town/region names. He’s clearly educated on Afghanistan.
B: “If it blows up and the wrong people gain power…” Didn’t that happen already? There he goes with the “friend” reference. “my friend, Governor Romney” So confused. He’s blaming Romney, while saying that Romney would do the same thing as Obama.
R: “Nobody is proposing to send troops to Syria.” Ooo…Russia reset. Pointing out the foreign policy fails of this administration. Propping up alliances, ripping the UN’s response.
B: “He never answers the question.” Ryan says we wouldn't go through the UN. Biden says they didn't.
MR: “What happens if Assad does not fall?”
R: “Iran keeps their closest ally in the region.” “We should not have called Bashar Assad a ‘reformer’.” “[Intervention] has to be in the national security interests of the American people.”
MR: What role has your religion played in your views on abortion?
R: “I don’t see how a person can separate their public life and their private life.” “I believe that life begins at conception.” “Look at what they’re doing through ObamaCare.” “Our church should not have to sue the federal government.”
B: “My religion defines who I am.” An idiot? “I accept the churches view…I refuse to impose it…” Wow. So tacky. Oh, there’s the Georgetown shout out. I’m surprised he didn’t mention Sandra Fluke by name.
R: “It’s a distinction without a difference.” “We don’t think that unelected judges should make this decision.”
B: He’s saying Roe v. Wade is in jeopardy of being overturned. “We picked [open minded] judges…didn’t come with an agenda.” Wow. Really?
MR: Are you embarrassed by the tone of the campaign?
B: Oh, come on! Back to saying that soldiers are part of the 47%. Really? And now he’s ripping on super PACs. Hypocrite.
R: Ripping Obama on running on hope and change but running this time on attack and distract. Ripping him on other broken promises – cutting deficit, especially. “The president likes to say he has a plan. He gave a speech. … We can’t estimate speeches.” His bladder must be made of steel. I’m pretty sure he’s drank three glasses of water.
B: And here are the scare tactics again. Exactly what Ryan has been ripping him all night on: If you can’t run on ideas, make your opponent scary.
MR: If you were elected, what could you give to this country that no one else could?
R: “There are plenty of great people who could lead this country.” Word.
B: Wow. Another time excuse. Level the playing field. Way to get that DWS point in there.
B: “we inherited a god-awful circumstance” Blame Bush. 47% comment. Level the playing field.
R: Yes. Talk right to the camera. I love this guy. “President Obama had his chance. … It’s not working. … This is not what a real recovery looks like.” Amen. “Wouldn't it be nice to have a job creator in the White House?” Preach. “We will not blame others for the next four years.”
Okay. It didn’t pan out exactly like I predicted or hoped, but Ryan still won. Biden was clearly on the defensive all night, doing exactly what Ryan kept accusing the Obama-Biden campaign of: trying to scare people out of voting for Romney-Ryan because the Obama-Biden ticket has no record to run on and no ideas. Ryan did very well, considering this was his first national debate, but he was trying way too hard to cram as much information into two to four minutes as possible. Substantive, yes, but not always 100% time-effective. Biden, however, was, as a friend put it, “just rude and disrespectful.” So true. That, and his impertinent smile/chuckle was just as awful as it was annoying. To be fair – or as fair as I can be to that blithering excuse for a vice president – he did much better than his boss did last week. Kind of echoed the DNC, actually. His speech was better than his boss’s. That said, his condescending tone throughout tonight’s debate was annoying, as was his persistent finger pointing and fear mongering.
Really, that’s about all my thoughts on the issue. At least the two looked at each other from time to time for more than two to four seconds. This was more like two people were debating, instead of a former governor debating an empty chair.
Still calling this one with football scores: Biden 13, Ryan 27